Friday, July 26, 2024

Trump: After Biden's withdrawal - his betting odds plummet

The West Trump: After Biden's withdrawal - his betting odds plummet Marcel Görmann • 6 hours • 2 minutes reading time Is everything now completely open again? On Sunday, the situation before the 2024 US election changed suddenly. President Joe Biden took himself out of the race. Recently, his challenger Donald Trump looked like the sure winner. But now the situation is different. This is also because Trump is suddenly too old a candidate - at 78 years old. The tables are turned! And the mood among the US people seems to be changing immediately. Is Trump now falling from the betting king's throne? The website RealClearPolitics evaluates current betting odds in the US election campaign and turns them into an average value. After the assassination attempt on Donald Trump and the show at the Republican Party Convention, Trump's odds shot up. On July 15, they reached a high of 65 percent. Who could stop him? Biden certainly didn't - his quota fell ever lower to 17 percent. Harris' chances of victory: Quotas and donations suddenly shoot up But now Trump's quota are falling significantly! On Sunday evening he only got 58.4 percent. At the same time, the quota for Kamala Harris is shooting up. Her chance of victory is estimated at around 32 percent on Tuesday. Just a few days ago it was under 7 percent. In keeping with this change in mood in the betting odds: The Democrats are reporting an explosion in party donations! On Sunday, 46.7 million US dollars were received via the ActBlue platform in just one day. That was a record this year. However, it is not yet clear whether Kamala Harris will really be Donald Trump's opponent. The decision could even not be made until the Democratic Party Convention in Chicago from August 19 to 22. But President Joe Biden, like Bill and Hillary Clinton, is campaigning for her as a candidate. Aside from Trump and Harris, no other candidate seems to have any prospects in the race. The independent third candidate, Robert F. Kennedy, only achieved an average of 1.4 percent. The Democratic governor of California, Gavin Newsom, performed similarly poorly with 0.9 percent.