Sunday, August 29, 2021
Bundestag election poll: Union crashes, Scholz far ahead of Laschet
Bundestag election poll: Union crashes, Scholz far ahead of Laschet
3 hrs ago
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Berlin. Four weeks before the Bundestag elections, another poll sees the SPD with chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz as the strongest force. In the "Sonntagstrend" for the "Bild am Sonntag", the Social Democrats gain two percentage points compared to the previous week - with 24 per cent, they are now clearly ahead of the CDU/CSU, which comes in at 21 per cent (-1).
A jogger runs past large election posters with the leading candidates Olaf Scholz (SPD) and Armin Laschet (CDU). Four weeks before the election, the CDU/CSU plummets dramatically in the polls.
According to the newspaper, it is the lowest figure ever measured for the Union by the Insa opinion research institute. The Greens remain at 17 per cent, the FDP at 13 per cent. The AfD (11 per cent) and the Left (6 per cent) each lose one point.
The polls for the candidates for chancellor also look increasingly bleak for the CDU/CSU: According to "Sonntagstrend", only 10 per cent would vote for chancellor candidate Armin Laschet (CDU) in a direct election this week (-2). The Greens' candidate Annalena Baerbock would gain one point and reach 14 per cent. Scholz would still be in the lead with 31 per cent - despite a minus of 3 percentage points for the SPD candidate.
The SPD has also made gains in several recent polls by other polling institutes. A survey by YouGov and the "Trendbarometer" of the Forsa Institute, which was prepared for RTL and n-tv, also recently saw the Social Democrats in the lead. In Friday's ZDF "Politbarometer", the SPD and the CDU/CSU were tied with 22 per cent each.
Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term election decisions make it difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, polls only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not forecasts of the election outcome. (dpa)
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