Astrid Lund - Betty MacDonald fan club organizer: "The whole world is keeping its fingers crossed for Kamala Harris. Hopefully the voters will send the old, lying, convicted Donald Trump into retirement and then he can play golf in peace. At least then he won't cause any damage."

Astrid Lund - Betty MacDonald fan club organizer: "The whole world is keeping its fingers crossed for Kamala Harris. Hopefully the voters will send the old, lying, convicted Donald Trump into retirement and then he can play golf in peace. At least then he won't cause any damage."-------------------------------------- Finanzen.net Trump or Harris? Researcher sees the outcome of the 2024 US election 1 hour • 2 minutes reading time The upcoming 2024 US election promises to be more exciting than ever. While Kamala Harris has taken over the scepter of the Democrats after Joe Biden's withdrawal, Donald Trump is ready to move into the White House again with a loyal following. But one of the most renowned election researchers, Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted US elections for decades, sees a clear trend. • Harris has the advantage • Close race between Harris and Trump Allan Lichtman reveals prediction for the 2024 US presidential election: The "13 keys" model The 77-year-old respected history professor Allan Lichtman, whose "13 keys" model for predictions has historically been almost flawless, has given his forecast for the 2024 US presidential election. Lichtman's prediction system, known as "13 Keys to the White House", is not based on traditional polls, but on historical and political factors that determine the outcome of the election. These "keys" analyze whether the ruling party has the advantage or whether defeat is imminent. The 13 key factors range from economic indicators to the incumbency bonus to the personality traits of the candidates. The crucial thing is that a party loses if six or more of these keys turn out against them. Harris in a strong position despite negative keys In an interview with the Miami Herald in August, Lichtman revealed that three of the "keys" currently speak against the Democrats, which still puts Harris in a good position. These keys include the loss of the "incumbent bonus" because Harris is not the incumbent president, Harris' charisma, which is weaker than Biden's, and the Democrats' losses in the 2022 midterm elections. Nevertheless, the Democrats' lead is large enough to put Harris in a strong position. A close race: chance for Trump? Donald Trump is on the verge of a comeback to the White House and could count on his loyal base, especially after events such as the attempted attacks on him, which have further mobilized his supporters. Harris, on the other hand, is currently leading in the polls and is benefiting from a euphoria that could have an impact, especially in the crucial swing states. According to Lichtman's model, the cards are still clearly in favor of the Democrats. Now it remains to be seen whether his prediction will be confirmed again in the US elections on November 5.