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Showing posts with label Theresa May and Brexit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Theresa May and Brexit. Show all posts
Ich habe dieses Buch gekauft, weil Krimi-Königin Ingrid Noll Wolfgang ... sehr, daß wir die monatliche literarische Veranstaltung Vita Magica von Wolfgang Hampel bald einmal besuchen können.
Ich habe dieses Buch gekauft, weil Krimi-Königin Ingrid Noll Wolfgang ... sehr, daß wir die monatliche literarische Veranstaltung Vita Magica von Wolfgang Hampel bald einmal besuchen können.
Ich habe dieses Buch gekauft, weil Krimi-Königin Ingrid Noll Wolfgang ... sehr, daß wir die monatliche literarische Veranstaltung Vita Magica von Wolfgang Hampel bald einmal besuchen können.
Ich habe dieses Buch gekauft, weil Krimi-Königin Ingrid Noll Wolfgang ... sehr, daß wir die monatliche literarische Veranstaltung Vita Magica von Wolfgang Hampel bald einmal besuchen können.
Theresa May 'cannot resist pressure to delay Brexit'
Here is what members of the Cabinet said to me when I pointed them
towards the statement made in the Sunday Telegraph by the Prime Minister
that she is "determined to deliver Brexit and determined to deliver on time - on March 29, 2019". "Farcical" said one. "Total delusion" said another. "Verifiably untrue" said a third. It's not that they doubt Theresa May is working to take the UK out of the EU. It's just they cannot see how it is remotely possible that departure
can be achieved in the less-than eight weeks remaining before the
official leaving day. And unless she is explicitly saying that she is now working for the
most chaotic no-deal Brexit imaginable, which they don't believe is yet
official policy, then they just cannot conceive how March 29 is a
realistic date - because there is massively too much legislation to pass
through Parliament. But to be frank, that is the least of their anxieties.
The UK is set to leave the EU on March 29. Credit: PA
Far worse for most of them is that they are guessing at her real
strategy, since they don't believe her official line - that she believes
the EU will move far enough, or at all, on the widely loathed backstop
to secure a majority for a Brexit deal from the votes of Tory MPs and
Northern Ireland's 10 DUP MPs. Presumably the scales will fall from Theresa May's and all our eyes
this week, when talks between the UK and EU resume on Monday and she -
her ministers think - goes to Brussels towards the end of the week. Or perhaps not, since her colleagues frequently tell me that her
capacity to describe the absence of agreement as progress may well be
without equal in modern political history. As it happens, some in the Cabinet think the EU will ultimately write
a legally meaningful codicil to the Withdrawal Agreement, which would
have the effect of reducing the risk of the UK being forced to remain in
the backstop forever to an uninterestingly trivial one. They are convinced that Angela Merkel has a soft spot for May and the
UK, and will somehow persuade the French president and the rest to
become emollient. Truthfully I think that is unlikely, but even if it turns out to be
correct, there would still be perhaps 20 European Research Group
Brexiter ultras - or possibly more - among Tory MPs who would never be
reconciled to a deal that does not include an explicitly reopened and
reworked Withdrawal Agreement. So even the Cabinet optimists don't think that May can move the EU enough to get her deal through. What is required is for Labour MPs to be converted to her cause (which is what I've been arguing here for days). So for some ministers there is method in what on the surface is May's
fatuous exercise of asking the EU to remake the backstop - which is
that it is a cover to convert Labour MPs (or so they hope - since she
won't tell them and honestly they're not sure). And to digress briefly, Sajid Javid's statement on Sunday on The
Andrew Marr Show that alternative technological arrangements to the
backstop "can be done" was described as "laughably absurd" by one of his
close colleagues with knowledge of the latest thinking of HMRC and the
Border Force.
Colleagues of Sajid Javid do not believe alternative technological arrangements to the backstop can be achieved. Credit: PA
So this will be a week which at best could - but probably won't -
convert a few but not enough Tory Brexit sceptics to her cause. More important will be whether progress is made by May in wooing
Labour MPs - though there is ambiguity about whether she is hoping a
caucus may be prepared to defy the Labour whip or (and ministers see
this as a much longer shot) Corbyn and the entire Parliamentary Labour
Party could be talked round. Ministers know that converting enough Labour MPs almost certainly
requires a commitment that the long-term relationship between the UK and
the EU will be based on the customs union - which of course risks
alienating more Brexiter Tory MPs, but could bring the DUP back as a
supporter of the Brexit deal, since it would (as I've said many times)
turn the backstop into a demonstrably short-term bridging arrangement. But May's Cabinet hasn't the faintest idea whether the Prime Minister
will ever compromise her red lines far enough to embrace customs-union
membership as an explicit aim of policy. Some ministers are crossing their fingers that the next time
parliament is allowed a vote on backbenchers' Brexit-related amendments,
on February 14, at least one enterprising centreground Tory will table a
call for a customs-union destination for the UK. "That would flush out whether the PM will ever opt for the only practical compromise," said one minister. Were May to relent and go with a customs-union-based Brexit, the
resignation of the secretary of state for international trade, Liam Fox,
would not be far behind, of course, since he would no longer be able to
negotiate free trade deals under customs-union rules. But that would be trivial collateral damage, compared with the mass
Cabinet resignations were Theresa May to abandon all hope of a deal and
instead make it official policy to go for a no-deal Brexit. Up to a third of the Cabinet would quit in those circumstances,
including Chancellor, Justice Secretary, Business Secretary, Work and
Pensions Secretary, and Minister for the Cabinet Office. But all this is in the realm of probability and hypothesis. The only certainty, among Cabinet ministers other than the most
important one, is that March 29 is now only a reference point for
setting the real date of departure, rather than the departure date
itself. And what a significant number of ministers tell me is that there will
be mass government walkouts on or before February 14 - to take
advantage of that next available date to vote to rule out a no-deal
Brexit - unless before then the PM publicly announces an intention to
negotiate with the EU a postponement of Brexit day of at least three
months. So the current few days matter, probably not in definitively
determining what kind of Brexit, if any, will ultimately be the UK's
destiny, but whether May very explicitly attempts to delay Brexit as the
price of pre-empting and preventing so many ministers quitting that
(again) her own tenure in Downing Street would be in jeopardy.
Wolfgang Hampel's very witty book 'Satire ist mein Lieblingstier' ( Satire is my favourite animal ) is No 1 Buecher de TOP List.
Wolfgang
Hampels sehr witziges Buch ' Satire ist mein Lieblingstier' ( Satire is
my favourite animal ) ist No 1 Buecher de TOP Liste.
Ich habe dieses Buch gekauft, weil Krimi-Königin Ingrid Noll Wolfgang ... sehr, daß wir die monatliche literarische Veranstaltung Vita Magica von Wolfgang Hampel bald einmal besuchen können.
Betty MacDonald Fan Club, founded by Wolfgang Hampel, has members in 40 countries.
Wolfgang Hampel, author of Betty MacDonald biography interviewed Betty MacDonald's family and friends. His Interviews have been published on CD and DVD by Betty MacDonald Fan Club. If you are interested in the Betty MacDonald Biography or the Betty MacDonald Interviews send us a mail, please.
Several original Interviews with Betty MacDonald are available.
We are also organizing international Betty MacDonald Fan Club Events for example, Betty MacDonald Fan Club Eurovision Song Contest Meetings in Oslo and Düsseldorf, Royal Wedding Betty MacDonald Fan Club Event in Stockholm and Betty MacDonald Fan Club Fifa Worldcup Conferences in South Africa and Germany.
Betty MacDonald Fan Club Honour Members are Monica Sone, author of Nisei Daughter and described as Kimi in Betty MacDonald's The Plague and I, Betty MacDonald's nephew, artist and writer Darsie Beck, Betty MacDonald fans and beloved authors and artists Gwen Grant, Letizia Mancino, Perry Woodfin, Traci Tyne Hilton, Tatjana Geßler, music producer Bernd Kunze, musician Thomas Bödigheimer, translater Mary Holmes and Mr. Tigerli.